This site definitely needs a regular betting section so here goes for a starter......

 

After last night's performance, Barcelona to win the Champions League 4/1.  They will take some stopping.

Man Utd 11/2 for a home win tonight. Easy money. City due to stumble.

 

Lightning can't strike twice... surely?

 

The 15/1 for Newcastle was preposterous. I'll go for 1-3 @ 12/1 but it is an amazing price for a home win at Old Trafford, possibly the highest this century!

If you don't go out on the branch, you're never going to get the best fruit 

Branch strength assessment is all.

 

Many a fruit-picker got fucked up the arse.

Perth races tomorrow. Looking forward to a good day out. Anyone have any fancies?

Perth races tomorrow. Looking forward to a good day out. Anyone have any fancies?

 

I've always found that shiteloads of booze is an excellent bet at Perth races.

Well that is the nap in the 11:30 over 15miles hurdle... ?

Gun to my head I'd be backing Got Away in 3:15 and Guy e/w in the 4:45, Got away showing nice form of late only slight concern would be it just had a big run last week however it wouldn't be a surprise if it goes one better here.

Liking the look of Steve Clarke to be next permanent Scotland manager at 5/1.

 

Never normally bet on these kind of markets but this one looks pretty good value and worth a punt.

Nah he's Fulham bound. Has stated quite categorically that he wants to return down south beside his family

Well got out of jail alive in Perth. Disappointing with withdrawals thus reducing fields to seven runners and e/w 1-2

 

The fav in the 11:30 won by some distance..

John Higgins 8-4 down in semi final of snooker.

 

Get your money on him at 31/20.  Only a matter of time.

10-6 now and he played like a dog....should really have been 11-5 down. Dramatic improvement required, as it stands I think the bookies have got him underpriced

He'll get better.  Only half time. 

Liking the look of Steve Clarke to be next permanent Scotland manager at 5/1.

 

Never normally bet on these kind of markets but this one looks pretty good value and worth a punt.

 

   

Going for Portugal to win in 90 mins tonight and Ronaldo to score at any point 17/10

21/10 on Holland to beat our friends from the south in 90 minutes tonight 

21/10 on Holland to beat our friends from the south in 90 minutes tonight 

 

I backed Holland to win in 90 minutes @ 10/1 when they were 1-0 down. Slightly bittersweet to see that goal just now in extra time.

 

 

 

 

 

Was it fuck. Fucking lurveley. GIRFUY Engerlund. This commentator kills me.

Any optimists out there taking a punt on a Scotland draw tonight at 7/1?   

 

or is everyone just going all in for a famous win at 20/1?

I did myself over on the horses yesterday. 

 

Was going to do a 25p e/w Lucky 15 on four ITV Racing televised races at Sandown. I'd picked three (6/1) shots in Caspian Prince which drifted to (11/1) and was placed third, then Hidden Message which came into (9/4) FAV in the morning but wasn't allowed to take 6's as wasn't in till apparently and he won his race, plus Regal Reality who also went out in betting to (17/2) before placing third and finally took Escobar at (20/1) that finished no less than a length behind winner in 2nd after being backed into (12/1).

 

I did 50p Win Lucky 15 meaning only Hidden Message at (9/4) will be paid out on!!!!  If I'd have done e/w like I intended with (20/1) Escobar, been given (6/1) on Hidden Message yesterday morning that I saw on screen in shop, then got given the drifted prices of Regal Reality and Caspian Prince regarding best odds guaranteed I believe I'd have got an extra £70 on top of our single selections. Even if I had the prices given in two (6/1) 3rd's the (20/1) second and (9/4) FAV winner still talking a top up of £31ish. 

Jordan Speith 8/1 in play 

Jordan Speith 8/1 in play 

 

The bookies aren't stupid. 800/1 now isn't even good value.

 

My 3/1 on Brooks placed on Friday should've been stronger but for him missing putts all day. Finally got one at 14 though but Shane the man in pole position.

A guy in our local cashed out a £5 sixfold tonight for £517.26. If he had not, he would've lost a fiver as MK Dons conceded in the 94th minute. Remind me how the cash out function favours the bookies?

A guy in our local cashed out a £5 sixfold tonight for £517.26. If he had not, he would've lost a fiver as MK Dons conceded in the 94th minute. Remind me how the cash out function favours the bookies?

 

Aye, but what would he hypothetically have got if MK Dons hadn't scored? Because that's the really important number.

A guy in our local cashed out a £5 sixfold tonight for £517.26. If he had not, he would've lost a fiver as MK Dons conceded in the 94th minute. Remind me how the cash out function favours the bookies?

 

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outcome_bias

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outcome_bias

 

It's not really relevant as to whether or not the cash out function favours the bookies though is it?

 

Regardless of the outcome, you're 100% more likely to win money with the cashout than without it. In other words, if it wasn't in existence (which I believe was the original argument - perhaps not this one), then there would have been no avenue for Rocket's boozer-chum to have recieved any winnings. In all cases where a cash out is offered, then, it is clearly 100% better for the punter to have had the option of cashing out than not. The decision to use it is another argument, which you'd have to know other factors (much much would he have won, was he party to the game etc).