Best of the thirds

[RicoS321]

Looking like Scotland are out. The Koreans fucked it for us in their group. There are probably only four groups that realistically could go our way now, and it's likely that at least one will fall in the coming days. It's a shite setup, given they all know what they have to do.

[RicoS321]

Group A - South Korea two goals ahead of us, although important to note that had we shitfested a 0-1 against Brazil, we'd still have been behind on goals scored.

Group B - Bosnia on four and so already through. 

Group D - Australia to beat Paraguay by more than a goal, or Paraguay to pump them by 4. Goal difference really killing us on this one

Group E - Ecuador to lose to Germany and Ivory Coast to beat Curacao. A draw in either game also fine. This should be a certainty for us.

Group F - Japan to beat Sweden by four! 

Group G - just need Egypt to beat Iran. A good chance that happens 

Group H - just need Spain to beat Uruguay. Another good chance

Group I - Iraq to either beat Senegal by less than three, or a draw. 50/50

Group J - Austria to beat Algeria by more than one, or Algeria to beat Austria by four. Probably unlikely.

Group K - Uzbekistan to beat DRC by less than four, or a draw. 50/50

Looks like we'll be going out. I think we could get three to go in our favour from this lot. I think 0-1 would have had us through, although only scoring a single goal in the tournament has killed us really. The Haiti game was our downfall (although had we lost or drawn, we'd have had nothing to go about!).

[RicoS321]

Running out of options now as Ecuador keep us in bottom spot in the third league (for teams who have played all their fixtures).

[RicoS321]

A case of seeing how many more days we can survive. Could potentially go out tonight, but unlikely. 

Spain, Egypt to win and Iraq to shitfest a draw and we're back in the hunt. A good chance that we'll get two of those three tonight, which will keep us clinging on until the final fixtures. I'm sure we'll all be staying up late with the excitement.

 

I realised I forgot group L in my analysis:

Group L: Ghana to beat Croatia by more than two goals. Very unlikely!

[STFU_Donny]

The Algeria vs Austria match is just above evens for the draw. Don’t think I’ve ever seen odds to draw a match so low before.

Edited 10 hours ago by STFU_Donny

[RicoS321]

7 minutes ago, STFU_Donny said:

The Algeria vs Austria match is just above evens for the draw. Don’t think I’ve ever seen odds to draw a match so low before.

Aye, strange that.... 

Wasn't it Austria in 86 or 90 that played out a draw?

Edit: 82 against West Germany, where they played out a 1-0 win for the Germans to both go through 

Edited 10 hours ago by RicoS321

[STFU_Donny]

12 minutes ago, RicoS321 said:

Aye, strange that.... 

Wasn't it Austria in 86 or 90 that played out a draw?

Edit: 82 against West Germany, where they played out a 1-0 win for the Germans to both go through 

Yeah, they have previous and a draw works for both Algeria and Austria. Might have to have a wee flutter…

[dons8321]

3 hours ago, RicoS321 said:

Aye, strange that.... 

Wasn't it Austria in 86 or 90 that played out a draw?

Edit: 82 against West Germany, where they played out a 1-0 win for the Germans to both go through 

Whilst Algeria (who'd beaten WG in the first match) were eliminated.

[Radiored]

The fact that Turkey, bottom of their group, are out .... whilst having equal or better points/goal difference than some 'still in the hunt' illustrates what a shit system the 3rd place scramble is. It's bad enough having to, uncharacteristically, cheer on bigger sides against the diddy teams in the hope of our own diddy team's survival, but holy fuck!

[Panda]

If Uruguay get anything against Spain, then a return to Boston to play Germany can happen. Spain win, and the only possibility if we do reach the last 32 is Mexico.

We need four of six scenarios below to go our way.

Spain beat Uruguay (or draw if you're desperate to go back to Boston), but then you now need four from five below to happen.

Egypt to beat Iran

Iraq to avoid defeat to Senegal 

Ghana to beat Croatia by at least three goals 

Austria to beat Algeria by at least two goals 

Uzbekistan to avoid defeat to DR Congo

[Jupiter]

1 hour ago, Panda said:

 

If Uruguay get anything against Spain, then a return to Boston to play Germany can happen. Spain win, and the only possibility if we do reach the last 32 is Mexico.

We need four of six scenarios below to go our way.

Spain beat Uruguay (or draw if you're desperate to go back to Boston), but then you now need four from five below to happen.

Egypt to beat Iran

Iraq to avoid defeat to Senegal 

Ghana to beat Croatia by at least three goals 

Austria to beat Algeria by at least two goals 

Uzbekistan to avoid defeat to DR Congo

The first two should easily happen, Senegal will beat Iraq, no way Ghana beat Croatia by 3 goals, Austria - Algeria is the most nailed on draw in world cup history and doctor Congo should beat Uzbekistan  So we're out.